@momofboiler1 - all the HYPS school’s are too tough to predict. Does your D have a chance? Sure, but I would put it in the less than 20%. That is not a negative comment about your D, just a comment about how crazy hard it is to get into the sub 10% acceptance rate schools.
My DS’s (twins) had similar or better stats (we are from NorCA) and got rejected from USC, rejected from Northwestern, rejected from UCLA, waitlisted then rejected from Harvard and Brown, waitlisted at Michigan. It’s a tough chore to make it into the more selective schools.
You can certainly make the argument that as a top flight student, she has better than a 5-10% chance to get into top schools. That’s still a steep climb. It’s hard to really understand it. You and your D are so used to succeeding, then suddenly you don’t. It was a tough pill to swallow.
The good news is she will get accepted to some good schools. Focus on fit.