Kentucky and Louisville are safeties, and if you would be happy at either of those you are fine.
UGA OOS has become more competitive over the last decade or so, but I like your chances, even TO (unless required).
Case loves those who love them. Be sure to show the love. That one could go either way.
Wash U will be tough – it is a reach. They are in an arms race with schools like Emory, Vandy and Rice to report high stats and be respected by stat-hunters. OTOH, if it’s under about 1460/33, you are probably best served to go TO there.
UVA OOS will be tough as well.
What are the common ties that bind these schools, and are they all affordable?