Chance me! but also unsure about where to REA/ED [Electrical or Biomedical Engineering, Applied Math, 3.97 UW GPA, 1570 SAT, MD resident]

Chance Me / Match Me
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Congratulations on your achievements. I can’t chance you because I can’t see your entire app, but I agree with others who say the list is reachy, although I expect you will see several acceptances assuming strong LoRs and essays. I don’t think you need more reaches. How is your progress on all the supplemental essays?

One concern I have is that your ECs really aren’t engineering related. This could be an issue at the schools on your list where you are applying for engineering and they care about activities supporting the major. Hopefully the math ECs, along with your other ECs, will suffice at many schools.

Make sure to get all apps in the EA round, where that is an option. Obviously, if you apply to Yale SCEA, that will limit the EA apps to rolling and public schools.

You post this analysis frequently, but there are a few issues when you look at the numbers this way.

First, the RD numbers you are using include the waitlisted admits/matriculants when you back out ED numbers. JHU waitlist admits for Class of 2029 were 247 (which is 8% of the total admits of 3072, and to be clear, those 247 admits are included in the 3072 total admit number.) So, RD only admits (prior to going to the waitlist) were 1990 (3072 total admits less 835 EDI/II admits less 247 waitlist admits.)

We don’t know the number of waitlist admits who matriculated, so can’t do a similar analysis on matriculants, nor can we calculate a pure RD yield (one without waitlisted admits/matriculants.)

Further, considering only the absolute numbers obfuscates the relative ED/RD admit rates, which are also important. The Class of 2029 RD admit rate without the waitlist admits is about 4.6%. ED 1/2 combined acceptance rate is 10.9% which does include hooked applicants like recruited athletes, Questbridge, donor kids, etc. JHU doesn’t separate out international applicants by ED, RD, and waitlist, so we can’t analyze numbers for domestic students only by round.

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These numbers are from section C of the 2025-26 CDS. https://oira.jhu.edu/wp-content/uploads/2025-2026-CDS-Johns-Hopkins-University-v2.pdf

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if this is true for your HS, in the last 2-3 years, and you get your application in EA, you will be fine. One of my kids (even OOS) goes to a VERY rigorous HS and they have a VERY high track record of kids getting into UMD for STEM too as long as the get stuff in on time EA. RD is a crap shoot.

Bearing that in mind, I am assuming all colleges are considering your HS very rigorous, and benchmarking that way…

I still think you are splitting hairs with your lower/low probabilities because at that level there is a lot of “fit” stuff going on and will boil down to letters, essays and what they need/see that year. You are objectively in the mix IMO for any.

Since CMU admits by major, and CIT is very skewed male, I like your odds there and might even say toss-up is OK even though others would disagree!. I don’t know if they consciously look for gender, they probably say no, but I suspect they do on some level and you are DEFINITELY more than qualified. Enrollment - Institutional Research and Analysis - Office of Institutional Effectiveness and Planning - Carnegie Mellon University (62% male in engineering undergrad CMU)

I think GA tech/ UMich/ USC are Toss-Ups, not likely, unless your naviance and scoir have clear evidence otherwise. At my kids schools, those are not really different than CMU or Cornell for engineering major applicants.

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