Chance me: CA resident, Female, Asian, GPA Weighted 4.0, SAT 1360 – Bio Major [3.77 unweighted GPA, 3.96 for UC]

I believe that your safeties are not necessarily safeties but targets. Cal Poly and Davis are targets. They are very difficult to get admitted for biology majors. U Wisc and NC State may also be challenging being OOS. SDSU is also more and more challenging.

I believe UIUC is probably a safety. But UCI, UCSD, and UCSD are not targets for most. Finally, UT Austin for OOS will be a reach.

Finally, your reaches are reaches.

Although you may have a decent chance at the UCs as well as the other safeties, they are not guaranteed by any means, especially for a bio major or possible pre-med or health science major.

You should have a few more safeties that are truly safeties. Maybe schools like Oregon, LMU, Cal Poly Pomona, Pepperdine or Santa Clara, Chapman, or San Jose State. The private schools all give very good merit scholarships.

You should

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Disagree here. Definitely not a safety for an OOS applicant, even in Biology.

OP, what is your unweighted GPA? It would be helpful to know so you can get suggestions for safety schools.

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Liberal Arts and Sciences at UIUC has a 41% acceptance rate - so agreed a target at best.

Also, @Kg007 - what is your unweighted GPA - 4 for an A, 3 for a B, 2 for a C and divide by # of classes - core classes only.

I truly think OP needs two safeties - some mentioned above by various of us.

Thanks

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My mistake. I thought OP had an unweighted GPA of 4.0. If unweighted 4.0, I would expect an acceptance rate over 60% for her at UIUC. However, a weighted GOA of 4.0 makes most of these large flagship public schools reaches as well as the UC schools, unfortunately.

I would suggest adding some safeties such as ASU, Oregon, or UofA or other schools such as CSUN, Fullerton, or Cal Poly Pomona. Those would be safeties.

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Utah’s also a good safety and these stats should get WUE.

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Since your WGPA is below 25 percentiles for all the UC you listed and CPSLO, I would consider them reach, not target nor safety. And SDSU acceptance rate is low 30%. There is a chance you may got rejected by all in state schools you apply. And for OOS schools you listed, they are all reach based on applying OOS with WGPA 4.0 and 1360 SAT considering low end for stem major. Add more safety and target.

For in state, need to add UCR, UCSC, CPP. For OOS, add Oregon state, ASU, Ohio State, uDub… Good Luck.

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Congratulations on being an excellent student in high school! There are tons of colleges that would love to have a student of your caliber enroll at their institution!

Since I was tagged, I will go on ahead and make my guesses regarding your chances at the out-of-state publics. With respect to the California publics, I yield to the excellent information already shared by @GumbyMom.

Extremely Likely (80-99+%)

Likely (60-79%)

Toss-Up (40-59%)

  • NC State: About 49% submitted a test score and yours would be just about the 25th percentile and only a 40% admit rate overall for fall 2023.

  • UIUC: Nearly 65% submitted a test score and yours would be between the 25th and 50th percentile of those submitted, and there was an overall admit rate of 44% for fall 2023.

  • U. of Wisconsin-Madison: About 44% submitted a test score and yours would be below the 25th percentile and it had an overall admit rate of 43% for fall 2023.

Lower Probability (20-39%)

Low Probability (less than 20%)

  • Georgia Tech

  • UMich

  • UNC

  • UT-Austin

Your unweighted 4.0 GPA with the rigor and AP scores you’ve earned and the degree of involvement/leadership in your ECs made me lean towards keeping the toss-up schools in that category rather than shifting them to the lower probability category. But my guess is that you’re in the riskier end of the toss-up category for those schools.

As others have mentioned, finding some extremely likely schools that you would be happy to attend is crucial to your application strategy. If you can let us know more about what kind of college environment you’d be interested in, that would be helpful to offer suggestions of some sure things admissions-wise for you. Some questions that might help prod your thinking include:

  • What size classes do you prefer?

  • Are you open to any schools that are smaller than about 20k undergrads?

  • What regions of the country do you prefer (or prefer to avoid)?

  • Are there any climate preferences (including with respect to the amount of sun/day)?

  • How do you feel about significant enthusiasm for intercollegiate sports?

  • How do you feel about Greek life (sororities/fraternities)?

  • Are there any other factors (including religion or politics) that will play a role in your decision-making?

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Thank you so much for your feedback.
Goal:
Short term: Medical Research
Long term: PHD

here are the answer of the questions you posted.
Questions:

  • What size classes do you prefer? Medium to Large
  • Are you open to any schools that are smaller than about 20k undergrads? Yes
  • What regions of the country do you prefer (or prefer to avoid)? - Preference West, South or North East
  • Are there any climate preferences (including with respect to the amount of sun/day)? No Preference
  • How do you feel about significant enthusiasm for intercollegiate sports? No enthusiasm
  • How do you feel about Greek life (sororities/fraternities)? not that important
  • Are there any other factors (including religion or politics) that will play a role in your decision-making? Not religious, neutral on Politics

I will appreciate the further insight.

Is it important that there’s significant Greek life or is it important that Greek life plays a minimal role in college life?

It is important that Greek life plays a minimal role in college life.

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Since you’re interested in getting a doctoral degree, I used this resource to help brainstorm some schools. It indicates how many alumni from an undergraduate college went on to earn a doctorate, and you can narrow it down by broad fields (like biological and biomedical sciences). You can look at a time range (I looked at 2000-2018, the last year in this resource’s data set) particular states, etc.

At a big state school, there are tons of options outside of Greek life. Few of them will have more than 30% of the student body participating in Greek life (if that), which means that 70+% of students will not be. I went to a school known for its party scene and about 27% of students participating in Greek life, and it wasn’t even a blip on my radar.

Although the Midwest was notably not included when you mentioned your geographic preferences, three of the seven out-of-state schools on your list were in that region (UMich, Wisconsin, and UIUC). Thus, I’m giving myself some flexibility to add some midwestern schools because they have some excellent schools that don’t get quite as much attention simply because they are in “flyover country.”

These are some big state schools that are producing a lot of students who have gone on to earn a doctorate in the bio sciences, leaving me to believe that there are excellent opportunities for interested students at these schools. The number in parentheses behind each school is the number of bio doctorates earned from its alumni between 2000-2018. The schools are sorted by my guesses as to your chances of admission:

Extremely Likely (80-99+%)

  • Indiana U. (513)

  • Michigan State (695)

  • U. of Arizona (651)

  • U. of Colorado (575)

  • U. of Minnesota – Twin Cities (593)

Likely (60-79%)

  • Rutgers – New Brunswick (762)

  • U. of Massachusetts – Amherst (455): Part of the 5-college consortium that allows students to take classes at Amherst, Mount Holyoke, Hampshire, and Smith

Toss-Up (40-59%)

Lower Probability (20-39%)

Low Probability (less than 20%)

That being said, however, there are a number of opportunities for undergrads at schools that have few or no graduate students. When looked on a per capita basis (whether the total undergrad population or the number of graduates in a field in the most recent year, both of which are available at College Navigator), you can see that they produce a lot more students on a percentage-wise basis who go on to earn a doctorate. This resource has done some of those calculations for you: Top Feeders to Ph.D. Programs

If you’re open to checking out smaller schools, here are some you may want to consider. Once again, they are sorted by my guesses as to your chances for admission; I also suspect you would be likely to receive very good merit aid at a number of them as well.

Extremely Likely (80-99+%)

  • Allegheny (PA ): (189)

  • Cal Poly – Humboldt: Mid-sized (162)

  • Ithaca (NY): Mid-sized; students can also take classes at Cornell; (115)

  • Kalamazoo (MI): (131)

  • Ohio Wesleyan (129)

  • Ursinus (PA ): (121)

  • U. of Puget Sound (WA): (111)

Likely (60-79%)

  • College of Wooster (OH): (107)

  • St. Olaf (MN): Students can also take classes at Carleton (235)

  • SUNY Geneseo (NY): Mid-sized; (189)

  • Whitman (WA): (117)

Toss-Up (40-59%)

Lower Probability (20-39%)

Low Probability (less than 20%)

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The left hand side is the most headed to phd. The right is per capita.

For bio, Michigan State, Minnesota, Ohio State, Indiana and Arizona are all good.

For a smaller school check out SUNY ESF’s six majors. Would any work ? They are on the per capita list. It’s smaller but they share resources with larger Syracuse U including libraries, dining halls and you can even take classes at SU. So the best of both worlds.

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4.0 is the OP’s weighted GPA. No unweighted GPA was listed.

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Thanks for catching that. Obviously my chancing above has a serious flaw. @Kg007, what is your unweighted GPA?

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Weighted - 4.0
Unweighted - 3.77
UC College Prep GPA- 3.96

A 3.77 is still a very good GPA. I think most of my guesses would probably stay in the same buckets, perhaps with these exceptions:

  • U. of MN → Likely
  • Rutgers → Toss-up
  • St. Olaf → Toss-Up
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I agree - your initial list is a no go - perhaps you get into one but I don’t think so.

But I stay with Arizona, UNR, Colorado State, UMN as solid fits. Underrated and also in a cool city - U of Arkansas.

All those are ins for you.

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Don’t forget about TAG, if you really like UC Davis for example here’s their requirements.

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Agree that all of your CA safeties and targets are actually reaches, and your CA reaches are high reaches.

That doesn’t mean you can’t get one, but unfortunately you picked a major that is extremely competitive. Luckily you’ve got some great options mentioned here, including OOS schools, CSU’s and the TAG program.

Work really hard on your UC PIQ’s if you want the best chance - show them why you are a unique applicant that they wouldn’t want to pass up. Good luck!

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Thank you so much, Appreciate the feedback.