Chance Me: CA Senior w/ Associates Degree + IGETC completion aiming for UCLA, UC Berkeley, Cal Poly SLO [3.94 UW GPA, 4.17 capped UC GPA, <$40k, Econ/Bus Econ]

You are clearly a very competitive candidate who is well qualified for every school on your list. However, as you know, the UCs can be very unpredictable, which makes them hard to “chance” beyond confirming that, yes, you are competitive for all schools. What would you consider your safety to be? UC Santa Cruz? That is the most likely one on your list. The rest will all be toss ups. Have you checked how many students from your school generally get accepted to the UCs? Either Naviance will have that information or you can check the UC site which breaks down applications and admissions by source school. That might give you a sense of your chances. Also, you say your school doesn’t rank, but when you submitted the UC application, did it indicate that you were top 9% ELC? That will give you a sense of your rank and if you cross that with the school-specific admissions data that could give you a better sense of where you stand. But again, the UCs are infamous for being unpredictable. I feel confident you will get in somewhere, and likely to a few of these schools, but aside from Santa Cruz, hard to predict where. Check the data I mentioned.