Over what period of time? Is the scattergram data broken out by round of application? FA status? URM or first-gen status? School/major?
I concur that schools with sub 20% acceptance rates can’t be likelies for anyone. I would drop Georgetown for engineering. Make sure you are demonstrating interest at schools where that is part of the admission decision.
What is your budget? Do these schools look affordable per their NPCs?
Edited to add: If you want to run D3 track, do reach out to the coaches at the D3 schools on your list (unless your times are not competitive).