Unfortunately none of us can really chance you, other than to tell you what you already know – these are long-shot schools for everyone, and even more so for international students. Perhaps being from Iceland will be a help, but since that’s an institutional need, I am only guessing.
Definitely apply to reach schools, but also focus on your target and safety schools, if you want to study in the US. You may want to list them to get CC’s opinion, as sometimes people misclassify the schools.