Chance Me (D25) for Env Eng or Sci at larger universities. [NJ resident, 3.7 GPA, 1500 SAT, 33 ACT]

Thank you so much for this! Quick question - at most of these schools, how much would her applying for engineering lower her chances, on average? Like will it move her a full tier down? Or something smaller? I ask because I really think she does prefer environmental engineering.