EDI, you SHOULD (just like you SHOULD with the 2190) get in if your recs. aren’t dull and your essays are good. However, again, I’ve been surprised. Your chances are really good stats wise and they should take you from a strategic point of view (snatching up a solidly placed middle-50 student or much higher in an ED round), but they have defied strategy so many times especially starting 2-3 years ago (and this may be because they of course saw stuff we didn’t about the applicants), so I don’t want to get your hopes up. Just know that your chances are good.