Chance me - First-year student from NJ aiming for Ivies and Stanford, MIT

You look like a very strong student with a chance at these schools, but how much of chance is hard to tell. Unhooked students (which it appears you are) have a generally low chance of admission. If your school sends a lot of kids to elite schools, your chances might be greater but you will need to be at the top of your class - is that the case?