Chance me for Harvard, Yale, and Duke?

You are in the same category as most of the accepted applicants. That being said, without a hook, the chances are less than 10%. You have some great EC’s but most applicants do as well. There is no way anyone can tell you the likely results as they can’t see other applicants from your area who you will be competing against.
In any case, with your hard work behind you, you will do well anywhere you go.

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