I think so, yes. I think that you are a competitive applicant for any university. The problem is that for the top ranked universities in the US so are the vast majority of other applicants to these schools. Admissions to schools at the HYPSM level is very competitive, very hard to predict, and not entirely merit based. It is just very hard to know how this will come out.
Also admissions is significantly more competitive and harder to predict compared to when I was attending university, which was a while ago.