Welcome to College Confidential. You appear to be a competitive applicant however please note that the UC’s are test blind and do not consider your SAT scores for admissions or scholarship but only for course placement.
Once you repost with your 3 UC GPA’s, I would be willing to give you some admit data and feedback on your list.
SLO uses 9-11th a-g course grades for their GPA calculation with an 8 semester cap on weighted classes so you need to also recalculate your GPA based on SLO standards. You can use the CSU GPA calculator and add in the 9-11th grades.
You have UCD (Davis listed twice as a Likely- which it is not a and a Low Probability). UCD is probably a toss-up. Cal Poly SLO is not Extremely Likely either.
Can you list your Senior year classes and your other a-g courses not just your AP classes?
Thank you.