Right now every school on the list is a reach school except your flagship. If we play the odds, you’re either going to get rejected or lowballed on financial aid from every one of them except for the flagship. For a flagship, how competitive is the major you’re trying to get into? It may not be a safety.
My suggestion, I would advise adding more target and safety schools that you know you can afford. The last thing you want is a list of acceptances of schools you can’t afford, or a flagship that rejects you for the major you want.