I’m pleased to see both CMU and Emory on your list, as both of these, like the UC’s, omit 9th grade from their recalculated GPA for admissions purposes. Both also give a decent “bump” for binding Early Decision applications, if by any chance you like either* of them enough to potentially foreclose on your UC options. (* or both, since Emory also has ED2)
Another possible option where admissions are more predictable and freshman grades aren’t considered would be Canadian universities, if that’s of any interest. UBC, for example, would be a lot closer to home than the east coast schools, and has excellent programs for your areas of interest.
I would expect you to end up with good in-state options, as long as you do a good job on the UC application. (And SJSU data science would be a slam-dunk I think; CS perhaps less of a guarantee but still pretty likely especially if you’re in Santa Clara County and get the “bump” for being local.) Good luck!