In the end, we are not AOs.
Collectively you’ve been told it’s unlikely. We are here to be honest, not to bend for your hope.
But we are not Tulane. You are full pay and you are applying ED. But no ones feelings will change, just because you want them to.
If you get in, great - congrats. Nothing wrong with trying ED.
If not, you need alternatives - hence I mentioned UT Chatt and College of Charleston…because there’s a similarity of the environment in my opinion- and they would both be safe for you.
Good luck - but be prepared with a plan in case it doesn’t happen.