What major are you applying as for? This might change your chances for UCB and UCLA. Overall, you’re GPA/ACT look good, and you have a good mix of EC’s. What’s your capped UC GPA? You should get into all UC’s, USC, and Vanderbilt. Not sure about Duke.
Chance back?
http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/what-my-chances/1847372-final-chance-thread-ivies-stanford-ucb.html#latest