Chance me Harvard ‘27!

[Dadto2NY]

@Catcherinthetoast

I admire your optimism but don’t see it as validated by my experience looking more broadly then versus a school such as your kids HS that appears to punch above its statistical weight. That is not the case for this student unfortunately.

If we put aside anecdotal evidence, and look at objective data analysis..
I ran OP’s numbers through CollegeVIne… (where my own DS has a 1% chance at Harvard), it spit out 11% for OP. College Lab spit out 27% for Harvard.

I think people overestimate the number of Valedictorian/1550+/Impressive ECs, etc, applicants that they get.

So you’re saying, anecdotally, you observe 2%.. I’m saying, anecdotally, I observe 15% for applicants like OP.. but analysis of the big data spits out numbers ranging from 11% to 27%.

@Catcherinthetoast

FYI put your faith in college lab calculator or any other such predictor at your own peril.

I’d take everything with a grain of salt. But those calculators are at least based on data, not anecdote. They are going to be more reliable than my or your personal opinion, as they are basing the analysis on far far more data.