The problem with that type of analysis is that it doesn’t factor in who was rejected from Madison. For highly selective schools, the “rejected” pile of applications often looks very similar to the acceptances, so simply being able to point to prior applicants who were similar to you who were accepted is only looking at half of the picture. You may also look very similar to students who were not admitted. I do know of multiple out of state applicants to Wisconsin in recent years for engineering with higher GPAs than yours (and similar test scores) who were not accepted. Not trying to be unduly negative, as you have a shot to get in, but there is also at least a reasonable chance that the outcome will not be an acceptance. You may want to look upthread at other schools that were recommended just to ensure that you will have some options.
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