You should rank 15. Why would you let a possible full ride slip away?
You’ve gone, in my opinion, too reachy.
You might add a Denison, Bates, Macalester, USC, etc. everyone will try and match to the tippy top , etc.
Can Whitman (who will do a pre read), Sacred Heart or Montana meet your need ?
How about the W&L Johnson.
What’s your safe and affordable ? How much can you afford ?