These are all reaches or high reaches. I would put your chances as no better than the overall acceptance rate, and probably somewhat lower than the overall acceptance rate. You might think of yourself as a typical applicant to these schools, and being ORM will not help. Quite a few slots at these schools go to legacy students, athletes, and underrepresented minorities.
These are harder to guess. I think they are still reaches or high reaches. I am guessing that you are out of state for the public schools.
These could go either way.
Reading “Philosophy” plus “GPA 3.95” plus “French club” plus “Le Grand Concours” put together make me wonder if you should also consider McGill.
I also tend to wonder what your goal would be after getting a bachelor’s degree in philosophy, and what your budget is.