It’s not great - but I think, for sociology, you have a decent shot at UW. Not a safety but a fair target. Their OOS acceptance is 40% so I’d say 50.1/49.9 - meaning even but I suspect you will get in.
UMN might be a similar type school (except not coastal) to bookend it with - a likely. Or Oregon if you want to be on the west coast - it’s a ssfety.
Good luck.