I think a few people here are able to do quite a bit better than that for some people, especially when applying to an ivy regular decision and MIT ea, with SAT’s and class rank slightly below average for those schools. In other words, you will never hear me saying “nobody can predict admissions” at top colleges because if I feel top colleges “are a reach for everyone,” I would more likely read and not comment. Note I even made sure to identify and clarify high school and it’s associated profile before I comment. To be more specific.
MIT EA - High Reach and Cornell borders between a high reach and a reach, but if OP moves to ED it becomes a regular reach. @AustenNut may or may not agree, but they are quite good at predicting admissions IMO.