I think you need to look at the stats in college confidential from the schools on this list, and specifically for those who didn’t get in. It’s a sobering read, but important as you choose your college list. You have great stats and ECs. So you’re in the conversation for all those schools. But will you get in? Do you have a better than 50-50 chance? No one can answer that.
You might want to look at some top-notch LACs, unless you want that big university experience.