Why ED2 and not ED? You sold me at full pay international.
Don’t blame your bad grades. You earned them. If you say, I didn’t see my family then why will college be different.
The downward trend isn’t good but at least the F was in psych. What’s your highest level math ? How many years of social science do you have - the F in psych not counting.
If you meet their requirements, 50/50.