Below are my guesses as to what your son’s chances for admission might be at the schools on the current list. I excluded the UCs as they’re their own special beast but yield to the expertise of others like gumbymom who has already posted. Additionally, this does not take into account the role of music in the admissions process (in terms of the impact of supplements submitted or if any require a portfolio, etc).
Extremely Likely (80-99+%)
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Lewis and Clark
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U. of Colorado
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U. of Oregon
Likely (60-79%)
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American (with demonstrated interest)
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Whitman
Toss-Up (40-59%)
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George Washington (with demonstrated interest)
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U. of Washington (note the many capacity-constrained majors, including music, neuroscience, psychology, and biology)
Lower Probability (20-39%)
Low Probability (less than 20%)
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Boston U.
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Tufts
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Carnegie Mellon
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Columbia
I’ll think about some other possibilities and post again later. Also tagging @compmom who may have additional insight to provide.