Hmm, is she a senior this year? Generally in state kids are top 10% of their class, and the bar is much higher for OOS kids. I would think maybe top 3%? Her uw does look low, although I agree being URM will help. When did her lower grades occur? If UNC senses that her grades trended downward junior year, that will not help. However, the reverse is also true…if her lower grades were made Freshman year, but she has an upward trend, that would be positive. Good luck. Either way, you’ll know in a few weeks!