<p>It’s really difficult to determine chances from any of these threads.</p>
<p>What I can tell you is what you already know: your rank, ACT score, and challenge of curriculum (especially from your high school) put you in the range of admitted students.</p>
<p>At the same time, just because one is in the range of admitted students does not mean one has a spot at said school. Many uberelite schools turn down students who perform well in favor of other students who perform well.</p>
<p>I think it’s to your benefit to ask yourself some questions your profile does not make clear: Why do you want to attend the University of Chicago, and how will Chicago help you with your immediate goals rather than your final goals of graduate school? How dedicated are you to learning for learning’s sake, working with the core curriculum, and being around students who like to discuss “nerdy” things at least some of the time? Among many other things, Chicago kids tend to be crossword-puzzle-doers, poetry lovers, and science geeks. Do you see yourself fitting in with that sort of crowd?</p>