Chances for ED as rising senior??

First of all, I think that you should stop freaking out. You bumped your post twice in around 3 hours after posting it.
Chance threads are often inaccurate for the simply reason that nobody knows what’s happening with college admissions.
Regarding your chances, here are my thoughts

  1. Your GPA is a little low, but nothing that can’t be overcome. However, you have to understand that the average of 97 that you found can be misleading, as some people have amazing extracurriculars.
  2. Regarding your test scores, just send all f them. They won’t count it against you. I would retake the SAT and study through the summer before taking the SAT or even the ACT again. Who knows, you might be an ACT person.
  3. I don’t think that you can project yourself getting over a 750 on the SAT II tests. Even if you are practicing and scoring 750s on each practice test, there is no guarantee until you take it.
  4. It seems like your debate activities are your main EC. I have no idea on what scale your accomplishments are, but they seem pretty impressive. Impressive enough to make up for poor numerical stats? Maybe
  5. This is probably going to sound really racist, but ethnicity?