How many colleges publish % female among entering freshman who are prospective majors in CS/engineering? Far more common is instead publishing bachelor’s degree recipients by major and gender (IPEDS reports this for all colleges) or publishing gender distribution by major enrollment across all classes, including students who don’t declare major until 2nd/3rd year. These types of measures may take years before patterns become evident in reported stats. IPEDS still doesn’t publish stats beyond 2023-24 grads, which was before the CMU decline.
Another factor is there are only a small minority of colleges that appear to artificially boost female enrollment in tech, which are mostly highly selective colleges that have enough quality applicants to produce a quality class when limiting a portion of pool (Caltech, MIT, Cornell School of Engineering, …). And only a minority of that minority likely boost female enrollment by manipulating race, such that that would be notably impacted by the supreme court ruling.
Considering that the overall average across all colleges for CS is ~20% female (similar to CMU’s new entering class), and only a very small handful colleges in the United States with significant sample size reach single digits, I doubt that CMU will reach single digits for CS, let alone the full college, which includes a good portion non-tech majors that tend to be majority female.