That she won’t get in somewhere is fine. My daughter was turned down at unc OOS. Her friend got in. You don’t know if you don’t try. In my opinion, unless you are dead set on a safety…ie going there no matter what…you should get turned down somewhere, to ensure you reached high enough. So look to see who is TO. If they are and were last year, see how acceptance rates compared to those who submitted so that you can choose schools that devote a fair amount of spots to TO students. So I would not rule out Vandy and UNC if they are dream schools. Don’t forget with common app, it’s easy to apply to more schools. So add one or two if concerned. Get on schools email lists and you’ll be surprised at how many send you free applications.