I would say that with this record Penn State Pharmacology is not only a target but very likely or perhaps even a safety (GPA×rigor=2/3 of the decision, test scores and other elements are 1/3, and you have all they want in both respects.)
Schreyer of course only admits 300 out of 8,000 freshmen so all bets are off (tip: the decision is made by professors who read your essays and ask the question, “is that someone who’d contribute to my seminar?” Essays are thus paramount, complemented by an evaluation of rigor and a teacher’s recommendation. Test scores don’t matter at all for Schreyer since the SAT is useless at determining intellectual curiosity, broad&dynamic thinking, analytical writing, etc. )
I’m rooting for Davis but it’s a bit unpredictable. I’m quite sure you’ll get several acceptances (pretty sure for Arizona+Honors,
and Penn State) and your main stress come 2026 will be to decide between them all. 
Yes, if you’re not funded by a Fellowship, TAship, or RAship, it means your resume and potential have kept you out of those and it’s a huge red flag for any postdoc program or employer.