So we discussed this a bit in later posts. Penn State has the College of Liberal Arts which contains most of the most popular law school majors. UMass as I understand it basically has two most-relevant colleges, Humanities and Fine Arts and Social and Behavioral Sciences.
They then both have other undergraduate programs Sarah Lawrence does not have at all, including entire specialty schools. But to the extent we are controlling for how many people go to law school, this might at least help control for the presence of those other programs.
However, you are apparently also hypothesizing that even within the similar undergrad programs, and even limiting it to people who end up going to law school, there would still be differences between Sarah Lawrence and Penn State/UMass students within those limits.
And I strongly suspect that is right. The question would be then what role any such differences are playing in terms of T14 enrollment–which is not just an admissions question, but also a choice question.
And I do not know of any way to really reliably investigate all that.
This is part of why I try to be really careful with my takeaways, and what I meant about being inclusive as opposed to exclusive. Like, I think if you are a person interested in studying liberal arts stuff, and are also interested in maybe applying to T14s some day, and you like smaller colleges, and you specifically like Sarah Lawrence, and you can comfortably afford it–you might want to consider Sarah Lawrence! That is inclusive thinking.
In contrast, if, say, you get a great deal from Penn State or UMass, you think they would be a lot of fun, and so on, but you also are interested in liberal arts and possible T14 admissions–I would NOT say you should rule them out because of this data. That is exclusive thinking.
Thinking that way relieves you of being sure why the data looks that way. You don’t have to be sure it means a lot. You also don’t have to be sure it means nothing. Which is good, because I really don’t think anyone is in a position to be sure either way.