“Can somebody explain to me block grants to states for Medicaid, how they work, and why they are seen as a bad idea? From my reading, I am not clear on why they will provide coverage for fewer people.”
@lasma covered the basics of block grants. Medicaid as it exists is a state/federal program and the amount the states pay versus how much the feds cover varies, it is not a fixed formula. Some states get a significant portion of their medicaid spending from the federal government (Alaska comes to mind), others get half or less from the federal government. Right now if the number of people on medicaid goes up, that formula holds, but with the block grant program the amount the federal government gives will only increase by the inflation rate (for medical care or overall CPI I don’t know), so if you have an influx of people, they would be SOL. The official cutoff for expanded medicaid is 2020, so it wouldn’t happen immediately.
From what I understand, the funding is based on 2016 allocations and it is on a per person basis, so basically they are locked into 2016 levels of payments. So even if they do expand medicaid in the state to get people insurance (let’s say people who have lost their ACA insurance but are eligible), the state likely won’t have extra funds to cover them.
Under the law being proposed, there also are no longer requirements for medicaid plans, expanded or otherwise, the way it was under ACA, they leave it to the states. Which basically means states can change their medicaid plans at will to cover what they wish, so for example to be able to enroll more people into medicaid they could slash spending to things like Nursing homes (senior citizens are huge users of medicaid for things like nursing home care. since many of them are well within the income guidelines for the program), and they could cut what they are willing to pay, which would cause doctors to come out of the program and the like.
Almost all experts expect that millions of those who gained coverage under expanded medicaid will lose those benfits, and some are saying it might be almost the entire 10 million who got coverage this way. Among other things, states that had the most people getting covered by expanded medicaid are also states where the federal government pays a lot of the costs, they are going to be the first victims of this, states that cover more of their costs will be less affected, though still hurt.
The thing about the plan is it is not about health insurance, the way ACA was, the plan being proposed is about access (or so they claim), basically it is supposed to give people access to individual plans by using tax credits (the current range of the credits fyi is 2k-4k a year, depending on age…). The government is not providing insurance through government run exchanges, they are basically giving you some sort of credit as payment (which of course you only can collect at tax time, so you are footing the entire cost of the plan until you file taxes and get your return, which is different than getting insurance with a lower premium each month, this is not the same thing.
I think people when the ‘plan’ actually comes out are going to be in for some rude awakenings. Among other things, they may realize that ACA was not the evil some claim it was, for example they are reporting today that the ‘massive increase’ in premiums for health insurance that some were claiming affected around 3% of Americans, the idea that ACA caused healthcare premiums to soar for employer plans is factually incorrect, the increase in employer plans is less now then it was before ACA (as I posted before, my employer estimated that of the total increase in premiums each year, about 50 bucks the first year was ACA, and after that it was even less), this on a plan that costs total 24k a year. I think they thought they were going to get what they wanted, plans that were affordable, low copays, low deductibles and would keep them from being bankrupted by medical bills, I suspect what they are going to get isn’t going to make them too happy, especially when they find out they will be paying the full cost of a plan for a whole year before seeing any kind of relief, and likely it will be a plan with very high deductibles, copays and exclusions compared to what they had.