Internet is back with normal connection, yay!!!
Correction:
You have a real shot at Barrett if you have the stats they want, as long as you apply by Dec 1st.
When do you hear back from UMN and when do you need to give your answer to ASU?
An issue is that Arizona has a dual system : very good students get very good learning conditions and all others get lousy learning conditions, presumably because learning hasn’t been their primary objective till then and so the state won’t invest money in them until they’ve proved they were worth it, even if that choice may well cause them to fail (your concerns as expressed are valid). It’s not as pronounced elsewhere. so I would wait until Ihear back.