As others have mentioned, the school spirt in these colleges in terms of sports varies widely, in addition to the type of campus. I would narrow it down to say Northwestern, Vanderbilt, USC, UMich, UNC and Tufts, so that’s six reaches. I would apply EA to UMich, UNC, USC and the other public schools on your list and based on that, expand the list of reaches if you get into any of them as you would have a backup plan. If you are deferred by the reaches but get into, say Wisconsin, you would have to consider reducing your list of reaches for RD. You goal in going to a place like Northwestern would be make you a good candidate for Phd programs at other places. So, if you want to get a Phd at MIT, getting an undergrad somewhere else could be beneficial. Good luck! You’ll do fine.