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Only taking two out of four of the AP courses at your school coupled with your performance on the SAT and SAT II show that perhaps your don’t have the academic seriousness or horsepower to indicate Swarthmore is a good fit for you. That said, your ECs are pretty strong and show that you’re fairly well-rounded. If you can make the most of your essay and get some stellar recommendations, your chances will go up but, based just on the facts and figures you’ve provided and the escalating competitiveness in admissions at Swarthmore in recent years, I put your chances at 15%.</p>