What is her rigor - highest math? Which APs is she taking?
I think she gets into LSU, Kansas and Lousiville and makes budget. And they are all fine schools. You needn’t hope on merit. KU, as an example, gives you $12k per year as a 3.7-3.84 so if costs stay flat you’ll be $30kish for tuition, room and board.
I don’t think she gets lots of deferrals. I think the rest say no but perhaps her rigor is stronger than I realize.
I think Penn State can’t get merit and I’d take it off. She’ll be branched - it’ll be far over budget. Same region but not a huge sports school but a fine program - SUNY Cortland.
If her SAT comes up, re post.
All that said, you can only go to one so take the shots she wants. You never know.
Good luck.