@prezbucky it’s a nice concept but your really slicing with a razor here with very rough numbers, the idea of high reach and low match is just defining it a little too much. There are applicants that will be denied by UCB but get into Harvard, along with those who get into Penn but denied at Brown. The single most important factors are 1. Are you academically qualified to go (depends on school (3.8+/32+ for most top schools, some caveats here), but the higher the GPA/scores the better) 2. Are you hooked (athlete/URM/FG/legacy in that order, multiples would be super hooked) 3. If not 2 then do you have anything that sets you apart (National competitions, unique abilities, etc.). If you don’t have these than forget about SCEA/REA at HYPS, give yourself the best shot by EDing somewhere.