Your post #22 is full of all sort of assumptions that you don’t have any basis for and the source you cite is a for-profit company that purports to get students into med school–hardly a reliable source.
Your analysis fails to consider several things including–
- Amcas and medical schools do not use the same definition of URM as you are using. Medical schools consider whether one belongs to a group that is under-represented in medicine (UiM), which is not the same thing as a URM for undergrad admissions.
UiM is defined locally by each individual medical school and it will depend on the local patient population vs the school’s applicant pool. UiM also looks beyond ethnicity when deciding which groups are UiM. LGBTQ+ students are considered UiM at some med schools. Utah’s med school considers many Asian ethnic groups UiM.
- The geographic home state of a med school applicant is a critical factor when analyzing whether a particular GPA/MCAT is competitive for a med school admission. Some states have highly protected in-state admissions; others do not. Students from CA, for example, are highly disadvantaged in med school admissions simple because the state has far too many highly qualified applicants for the limited number of seat available. This coupled with the fact that CA state med school offer only a weak in-state preference in admissions means 2/3rd of CA med school matriculants attend OOS schools. Thus a CA applicant needs to have [a significantly] higher GPA/MCAT to be a successful applicant to med school than an applicant from South Carolina or Kansas. Other applicants are disadvantaged because their home state does not have an in-state public medical school–ME, AK, ID, MT, WY, MT, RI, DC.
For your argument to be true, UC’s geographic diversity would need to match that all med school applicants nationally.
- A number of medical schools are mission-based–dedicated to serving specific patient populations. These include many state public med schools, HBCU medical schools and faith-based med schools (Loma Linda, Liberty University plus Catholic universities’ med schools). On the whole these medical schools are less stat driven in admissions. These schools tend to accept applicants who are a “good fit” over those with stronger stats but a poor fit.