I don’t know where you intend to go, but my homeschooled kid got into every school that kid applied to. Not ivies, but OOS at Clemson, VT, Auburn, etc - kid was looking for an engineering school that wasn’t in a city. Kid took 5 total AP exams and a handful of DE classes. Kid did have high test scores (National Merit Finalist, etc). A friend is going to Vandy with lower test scores (NMS commended) and only a few APs and some DE. Many other homeschooled kids that we know are going to our in-state schools (UT-K, UT-C, ETSU, MTSU, etc) because they are relatively inexpensive and they get scholarships. Most have no APs, although some kids have a few and many have some DE classes. I know other kids who have chosen small private schools and gotten excellent scholarships.
If you are looking to apply to the kinds of schools that have very low acceptance rates, then, like everybody else, your chances of getting in are low. If you are applying to competitive, but not super-competitive, schools, then you should be fine.