A UC/CSU GPA below 4.0 will be a tough admit for all your target UC’s and Cal Poly SLO.
@inthegarden: For the UC’s and CSU’s, they do not accept counselor recommendations in the admission process so only the UC personal insight essays could address the chronic health issues.
Some statistical data for the UC’s below. These are not major specific so for ME the admit rates will be lower and required GPA higher.
2019 Freshman admit rates for UC GPA of 3.40-3.79 capped weighted and not major specific:
UCB: 1%
UCLA: 2%
UCSD: 9%
UCSB: 6%
UCI: 7%
UCD: 9%
UCSC: 40%
UCR: 53%
UCM: 80%
For Cal Poly SLO, the GPA admit range for the College of Engineering 2020 was 4.04 – 4.27 and ME had around a 19% acceptance rate.
So SJSU as a local applicant will make it a safety along with ASU.