I think you have a really good chance especially at the mid-tier and low-tier BS/MD programs (GW, Drexel, SUNY downstate, Stonybrook). Miami might be a little of a reach, but that would be the case for many, just because of the increased competition there for several reasons. I agree with @rhandco, and why not at least try? I think you’re selling yourself short with Stony Brook and SUNY Downstate, as there are other good ones you should apply to and see what you get – i.e. maybe VCU’s program.
As always, apply to solid normal 4 year undergrads you would want to apply to regardless of whether you’re going for med school or not.