Do I have to decide Duke ED in advance?

Duke has more than 100 recruited athletes (probably around 160?) but for the ones committed by 12/15 it looks like they account for them in ED acceptance rate per the discussion my D20 and I had with the Dean of Admissions (Mr. Guttentag).

@bluedog He also used the term “People of Color” being 45% in ED, which I interpret that as Hispanic, African American, American Indian, but not Asian. I could be wrong?

In addition, I did not factor the legacy/development admits in my simple analysis because there might be overlaps such as a recruited athlete was also a legacy, etc.

With that said, the one important concept I did not factor in is about 903 ED applicants are “deferred” and get another chance for possible acceptance in RD. Somewhere around 99 applicants in that group ultimately got accepted or 11%.

So maybe ED gives the “unhooked” applicant a slightly better chance at acceptance than RD when you factor in the deferred aspect but it’s nowhere close to the 18% often proudly cited by the university.