<p>I am a little confused based on a lot of things I have read all over</p>
<p>1) It is said that the ED/EA pool is usually stronger than the RD pool. So you might be on the boderline in the ED/EA pool but in the solid zone in the RD pool. At least that is the way I view it logically but then not all adcom decisions are necessarily logical to the public. If that is the case, should not deffered candidates be in a slightly stronger position even if they are more candidates in RD as they were borderline in a stronger pool?
2) What do adcoms gain by not notifying the decision once they make it? By putting a person in the rejected pile but deferring them, how does it help the adcoms? In other words, if they want to hurt the feelings early on, why not deffer everyone? Why a reject a lot and deffer a few? They are hurting the feelings for say 60% of the ED/EA candidates by rejecting them, why not hurt the feelings of say 65% or 70% of the candidates (I am just pulling numbers out of the hat) by notifying everyone who has been rejected? </p>
<p>So to me, the chances should go higher, though everything I have heard is that chances are lower. May be it is me that does not understand the logic.</p>