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This is exactly what they do. Your airline analogy is invalid in that with the airlines, everyone is attempting to get to Toledo. With college selection, Toledo might be the second or third choice, depending on the availability of flights elsewhere. On numerous Admissions briefings, I have heard them explain the consistency of historical data and that they can predict almost exactly how many will select. Could you imagine the turmoil in attempting to fill 25% of the class in May and June?</p>