<p>One data point this year:</p>
<p><a href=“Match Day 2014 Reveals, Celebrates Med Students’ Next Steps - Jacobs School of Medicine and Biomedical Sciences - University at Buffalo”>Match Day 2014 Reveals, Celebrates Med Students’ Next Steps - Jacobs School of Medicine and Biomedical Sciences - University at Buffalo;
<p>There are likely (I do not read it carefully) 1 plastic surgery, 1 ortho, and 4(?) dermatology from this "typical " med school (which is cited randomly, for no particular reason.)</p>
<p>Another random data point:</p>
<p><a href=“http://ps.columbia.edu/education/edu-news-archive/match-day-2013”>http://ps.columbia.edu/education/edu-news-archive/match-day-2013</a></p>
<p>It appears to me that, for a typical medical school, the chance of getting into one of these few very competitive specialties is like 5%, which may be smaller than the admission rate to Harvard College, from high school. This may be true for the graduates from the majority of med schools, likely including most "top (in terms of US News & Report research school ranking) med schools, I think. (There are exceptions.) </p>
<p>Not directly related as this is about getting into “well-recognized name” programs (in any specialty), rather than competitive specialties, I think:</p>
<p><a href=“Match lists at top 5 schools – Anastomosed”>http://anastomosed.■■■■■■■■■■■■■/2012/01/03/match-lists-in-top-5-schools/</a></p>
<p>Another thought: It is well-known that connections are important for breaking into i-banking. Is “old-boy-network” also an important factor for breaking into a competitive specialty?</p>