<p>“The 11.78% seems more realistic to me and it’s directly from the admissions numbers for the class of 2018.” </p>
<p>For some reason, the page you are referring to is from 2017 and has not been updated. </p>
<p>Again, for most applicants, trying to select a college based on these numbers is a mistake. You need to apply to the college that you believe is the best fit for you. If you have good liberal arts credentials, but are applying to SEAS because the historical admission rate is a bit higher, that is a big mistake. This will not help your chances.</p>
<p>It does appear, however, based on the recent post by guy785231, that the Adcom may, from time to time, reach out to certain students who they believe could be a better fit in a different college. I think that is definitely a positive.</p>