@dla26 At this point I think you are overthinking this. Your D needs to apply to the school she likes the best If she’s going ED. Period. If it’s Haveford, it sounds like she’d very likely get in. If it’s one of the others, her chances are still very very low just like most other applicants. Not sure doubling the acceptance rate at Williams makes you feel all that secure. It’s still a 1/4 shot and will be determined most likely by her essays, ECs, and recs and how they stack up against everyone else. No way to know.