Hard to say if the position will be filled - it’s soccer. We have been told D is a very strong player for D3 level. So maybe they will hold for her? If she applies EA, she would find out only a week or two past ED, we are hoping that would be enough.
The school is 100% meet needs, but also gives merit. They seem fairly generous with merit compared to other similar schools. Many of the schools she was interested in don’t give any merit at all - we had her take those off the list.